Emergency Medicine

Comprehensive Summary

In their systematic review, Ku et al. (2025) sought to determine which frailty or vulnerability screening tool for older adults most accurately predicts adverse outcomes during emergency department (ED) visits. The review synthesized evidence from 57 studies, encompassing more than 125,000 patients. Primary outcomes centered on the prognostic performance of frailty tools, vulnerability tools, and combined instruments in predicting adverse clinical events. Across the 39 evaluated instruments, most screen tools showed high sensitivity but consistently low specificity. The Fap-ED tool was a notable exception, demonstrating both high sensitivity and comparatively strong specificity. Overall, researchers concluded that because of their low specificity, existing tools may be better suited for ruling out low risk patients rather than reliably identifying those at greatest risk. Authors emphasized that current frailty and vulnerability tools lack sufficient prognostic accuracy to guide individualized ED decision-making, and advised clinicians to maintain heightened vigilance for adverse outcomes in older adults until more reliable instruments are developed.

Outcomes and Implications

Older adults represent a growing proportion of ED visits and are disproportionately vulnerable to adverse outcomes due to higher rates of frailty, multimorbidity, and physiologic decline. Given the risk of adverse outcomes, frailty and vulnerability screening tools have been proposed as a way to rapidly identify high-risk older patients and allocate resources more efficiently; however, this systematic review demonstrates that most frailty and vulnerability tools offer high sensitivity but poor specificity, limiting their ability to meaningfully predict clinical deterioration. As a result, these tools may function better for ruling out low-risk patients rather than for identifying those who require intensive monitoring or intervention. Notably, the review highlights a critical evidence gap: despite widespread clinical enthusiasm, current tools do not provide sufficient prognostic accuracy to replace clinician judgement or guide ED treatment plans. Continued research is needed to refine such screening instruments along with validating them across diverse ED settings. With further research, these tools could potentially show an ability to improve patient-centered outcomes, resource utilization, or care pathways for older adults.

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© 2025 AIIM. Created by AIIM IT Team

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© 2025 AIIM. Created by AIIM IT Team